This report covers the last quarter of 2011 and the first three quarters of 2012. Overall movement and displacement patterns in 2012 was mainly determined by conflicts unlike the last quarter of 2011 which was drought-related displacement and IDP returns. The first quarter saw an increase and shift in conflict between TFG/AMISOM troops and Al Shabaab insurgents from Mogadishu to Afgooye district after the tactical withdrawal of Al Shabaabfrom Mogadishu. The announcement by TFG/AMISOM forces of a massive offensive in the Afgooye corridor created fear amongst the population leading to multitudes of displacementsfrom the district. The actual offensive happened in the second quarter, and led to displacements from the Afgooye corridor mostly to Mogadishu. Following this, TFG/AMISOM forces, advanced on Merka in Shabelle Hoose and later; key towns in Lower Juba. This led to the eventual withdrawal of Al Shabaab insurgents from Afmadow and Kismayo.
