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Mali: ECHO Daily Flash of 29 November 2015 - Mali - violence (MINUSMA, ECHO)

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Source: European Commission Humanitarian Aid Office
Country: Mali

Mali - violence (MINUSMA, ECHO)

  • A mortar attack on a MINUSMA camp in Kidal, Northern Mali, has claimed the lives of three MINUSMA staff and injured 20. The SRSG, head of MINUSMA, has strongly condemned the attack.

  • Despite the Peace Agreement signed in June this year, violence continues in the North of Mali. As a result, 1.5 million people are still in need of international humanitarian assistance.

  • Access for humanitarian actors to the area is difficult. Therefore, the re-opening of Kidal airport for humanitarian flights, a long-standing demand by the humanitarian community and now announced for January 2016, is crucial for the delivery of aid.


Somalia: Livelihoods in Somalia: Impact evaluation of community driven livelihood and food security initiatives in Lower and Middle Juba Regions

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Source: Oxfam
Country: Somalia

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Oxfam GB’s Global Performance Framework is part of the organisation’s effort to better understand and communicate its effectiveness, as well as enhance learning across the organisation. Under this Framework, a small number of completed or mature projects are selected at random each year for an evaluation of their impact, known as an Effectiveness Review. The project ‘Community Driven Livelihood and Food Security Initiatives (CLFSI) in Lower and Middle Juba Regions of South Somalia’ (SOMA67) was one of those selected for an Effectiveness Review in the 2014/15 financial year.

The project’s overall objective was to contribute to improved income generation and food security of families in eleven regions in South Somalia. Project activities included a cash grant for household businesses (IGA); provision of donkey carts for transport services; restocking of livestock herds; donation of agricultural equipment; donation of other agricultural inputs, e.g. seeds; support in rehabilitation of irrigation systems including the donation of water pumps; and provision of cash for work. It should be noted that agricultural activities, including support in rehabilitation of irrigation systems, was not given attention as planned and consequently few of these activities were actually carried out.

The project activities were implemented by Oxfam GB in conjunction with a local partner organisation – Wajir South Development Association (WASDA). Phase 1 of the project started in 2010 and completed in March 2013. Data collection for the Effectiveness Review took place in October/November 2014.The baseline survey for the second phase of the project, which intends to scale up the first phase, was recently completed.

EVALUATION APPROACH

The review adopted a quasi-experimental impact evaluation design, which involved comparing households that had been supported by the project with households in neighbouring communities that had similar characteristics in 2009.

The Effectiveness Review was carried out in the regions where the project activities had been implemented since at least 2009. Within those regions, the households that had participated in the project during the period were selected at random to be interviewed. For comparison purposes, interviews were also carried out with households that had not participated in the project, but who were eligible and had expressed an interest in doing so. In total, 200 project participants and 434 nonparticipants were interviewed. At the analysis stage, the statistical tools of propensityscore matching and multivariate regression were used to control for demographic and baseline differences between the households surveyed in project and comparison areas, to provide confidence when making estimates of the project’s impact.

RESULTS

The survey results provide good evidence that the interventions have made a positive contribution to the livelihoods of the target population.

One key question was to check whether the numbers of livestock owned by households and livestock sales have changed. Survey respondents were asked to state the number of livestock sold in the past 12 months (oxen, cows, goats, sheep, herd camels, park camels and donkeys) and the numbers owned by their households now and in 2009. Specifically, they were asked to approximate the number of livestock owned by respondents and their household members, excluding extended family; and finally, livestock owned by respondents and their household members in 2009, excluding extended family. The results show that on average respondents and their household members now own two more goats and 50 per cent more sheep than households in comparison areas. Interestingly, on average households in comparison areas owned a higher number of goats, sheep and herd camels in 2009. This demonstrates the impact of restocking animals in intervention areas since households participating in the project now have a higher number of goats and sheep, on average, than their counterparts in comparison areas that were better off in 2009. However, there was no significant difference between households that participated in the project and those that did not in terms of numbers of livestock sold in the past 12 months.

The second question of this Effectiveness Review was whether household members participated in community groups. The respondents were asked to state whether household members, and more specifically, whether male, female or both genders, participated in group meetings both now and in 2009. This was meant to help understand the effectiveness of committees formed to help manage the project. These committees were responsible for the identification of activities to be carried out and selection of beneficiaries based on poverty and vulnerability. In addition, they took part in implementation, monitoring of the project and accountability issues. This included committees such as the Project Accountability Committee (PAC), the Project Monitoring Committee (PMC) and the Project Implementation Committee (PIC). The groups identified included village elders; trade associations; committees for managing, implementing or monitoring projects; savings groups; women’s groups; youth groups; religious groups; and other groups.

The results indicate that there was a 20 percentage point significant difference in participation in group meetings between respondents in participant households and their household members, compared with non-participants respondents. On average, there was 12 percentage point increase in the number of women in intervention areas reporting participation in group meetings compared with their female counterparts in comparison areas. It is important to note that there was no significant difference between respondents and their household members regarding participation in group meetings in intervention and comparison areas in 2009 when the project was initiated.
This indicates that the formation of committees increased participation of household members, particularly women, in the project areas through community mobilisation carried out by the committees. Lessons learned on how to increase participation demonstrated by this Effectiveness Review can be utilised in implementing other projects in this community.

Thirdly, respondents were asked whether their perceived income from milk and livestock sales had increased or decreased since the beginning of the project. It should be noted that this was a subjective measure of change in income from livestock and milk sales. On average there was a 15.9 percentage point increase and a 17 percentage point increase in the number of participant households reporting increased income from milk and livestock sales respectively compared with non-participants. The increase in livestock sales reported contradicts the findings using an objective measure of livestock sales. Using the quantitative measure of livestock sales, there was no significant difference between the intervention and comparison households.

Another outcome that was investigated was the use of donkey carts that were donated to the project participants for income generation. The respondents were asked whether they, or any other member of their households, had received donkey carts at any time since 2009. On average, there was a 5.9 percentage point difference in the number of participant households reporting use of donkey carts for income generation compared with non-participants. The income derived from donkey carts could be one of the reasons for the observed statistically significant difference in the wealth index between participant and non-participant households. It is possible that participant households used income derived from the services provided by donkey carts to purchase more household assets.

The Effectiveness Review also sought to understand whether there was a change in income from household businesses. The respondents were asked to approximate the revenues obtained from the household businesses in a typical month over the past year and also in 2009. The households that received the cash carried out businesses, such as butcheries, selling clothes, running a small kiosk, and other small household businesses. It is important to note that on average, participant households reported obtaining more income from the businesses compared to the non-participants, but this was not statistically significant. In addition, the income received from these businesses in a typical month in the past year was higher than that received in 2009 for both groups. One point to note is that a significantly higher percentage of respondents in the intervention group (41.5 per cent) reported receiving a cash grant for household businesses compared with only 2 per cent in the comparison group. The mean difference (39.5 per cent) was statistically significant and yet this did not translate into increased income from household businesses for the project participants. It is therefore likely that after receiving the money, most of the participants did not go into the businesses and possibly diverted the money to other uses.

Chad: Chad Humanitarian Bulletin Issue 02 | October 2015

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Source: UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
Country: Central African Republic, Chad, Nigeria

HIGHLIGHTS

  • Food insecurity is critical in the Sahel West with alarming malnutrition rates.

  • In Lac, insecurity is making humanitarian access difficult.

  • El Niño could have a negative impact on food security in the country.

  • Chad will attend the Paris Conference on climate change, bringing a plan for adaptation and risk mitigation.

Food insecurity and malnutrition critical in Chad’s Western Sahel

Malnutrition crisis in Western Chad

The situation is critical. According to the Nutrition Cluster, global acute malnutrition (GAM) rates are close to or exceed the emergency threshold (15%) in Chad’s western Sahel.

Following the results of the Enquête démographique et de santé à indicateurs multiples (EDS-MICS 2014), GAM rates above the 15% emergency threshold were recorded in several regions. These levels are particularly worrisome in some areas such as Lac (24.8%) and Kanem (21.3%), as shown in the graph below. The severe acute malnutrition (SAM) rates are also above the emergency threshold of 2% in almost all regions in Chad.

In Western Chad the proportion of children suffering from chronic malnutrition is the highest. Kanem is the worst affected with 64% of children suffering from global chronic malnutrition (GCM), followed by Lac (57.1%) and Bahr-El-Gazal (56.4%) according to the EDS-MICS 2014, published in early October (see chart below). Chronic malnutrition caused by micronutrient deficiency essential to health has serious consequences for children, including stunting that affects intellectual development and increases the risk of chronic diseases.

Chad: Tchad Bulletin Humanitaire N° 02 | Octobre 2015

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Source: UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
Country: Central African Republic, Chad, Nigeria

FAITS SAILLANTS

  • L’insécurité alimentaire et nutritionnelle est critique dans le Sahel ouest avec des taux inquiétants.

  • Au Lac, l’insécurité complique l’accès humanitaire.

  • Le phénomène El Niño annoncé dans les pays du Sahel et le Tchad pourrait avoir un impact néfaste sur la sécurité alimentaire dans le pays.

  • Le Tchad participera à la Conférence de Paris sur le changement climatique, avec un plan d’adaptation et d’atténuation des risques.

L’insécurité alimentaire et nutritionnelle inquiète dans le Sahel ouest du Tchad

Crise de malnutrition dans l’ouest du Sahel tchadien

La situation est critique. Selon le Cluster nutrition, les taux de malnutrition aigüe globale (MAG) sont proches ou dépassent le seuil d’urgence (15%) dans l’ouest du Sahel tchadien. D’après les résultats de l’enquête démographique et de santé à indicateurs multiples (EDS-MICS 2014), des taux de MAG supérieurs au seuil d’urgence de 15% ont été enregistrés dans plusieurs régions. Ces taux sont très inquiétants dans certaines régions telles que le Lac (24,8%) et le Kanem (21,3 %), comme le montre le graphique cidessous. Les taux de malnutrition aigüe sévère (MAS) quant à eux sont supérieurs au seuil d’urgence de 2% dans pratiquement toutes les régions du Tchad.

Niger: Niger: quatre villageois tués par Boko Haram dans le Sud-est (autorités)

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Source: Agence France-Presse
Country: Niger

Niamey, Niger | AFP | lundi 30/11/2015 - 14:34 GMT

Quatre villageois ont été tués et deux autres blessés samedi soir par des membres du groupe islamiste Boko Haram, dans un village près de Diffa, la capitale provinciale du sud-est du Niger, ont indiqué lundi les autorités locales.

"Nous avons constaté quatre pertes en vies humaines, deux blessés évacués à l'hôtel de Diffa", a affirmé à la télévision d'Etat Fougou Boukar, un responsable du gouvernorat de la région, interrogé sur lieux de l'attaque.

"Les dégâts sont énormes avec une cinquantaine d'habitations brûlées", a-t-il déploré, précisant que les assaillants, "au nombre d'une dizaine", ont mené "l'attaque aux environs de 21H30 (20H30 GMT)" et "pris la fuite vers le Nigeria".

"Les éléments de Boko Haram étaient armés de kalachnikovs et sont venus en traversant la Komadougou Yobé", la rivière qui sert de frontière naturelle entre le Niger et le Nigeria, a souligné la télévision d'Etat Télé Sahel.

Cette télévision a montré des centaines de villageois en détresse près de cases réduites en cendres, priant pour la mémoire des victimes tuées. Vêtue de haillons, une veille femme ramassait des restes de vêtements ou d'ustensiles de cuisine épargnés par les flammes.

D'autres habitants ont présenté à la caméra de nombreuses douilles ramassées par terre. "Les Forces de défense et de sécurité ont été déployées dans la zone", a assuré Fougou Boukar, qui a promis "une assistance" aux personnes sinistrées.

La semaine passée, 18 personnes ont été tués et 11 autres blessées dans un raid de Boko Haram à Wogom, un village situé près de la ville de Bosso, dans le sud-est du Niger. Trois des victimes, dont l'Imam du village, ont été égorgées, selon les autorités.

Depuis février, Boko Haram multiplie les attaques autour de Diffa, ville frontalière du nord-est du Nigeria, fief des insurgés islamistes, alors que l'armée peine à contenir ses incursions.

"Le problème le plus important auquel nous avons affaire, c'est le contrôle de la zone frontière côté Nigeria", avait justifié fin octobre Hassoumi Massaoudou, le ministre nigérien de l'Intérieur, devant les députés.

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© 1994-2015 Agence France-Presse

Chad: African leaders urge world to save drought-hit Lake Chad

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Source: Agence France-Presse
Country: Cameroon, Chad, Niger, Nigeria

African leaders called at a global climate summit Monday for the world to help save drought-stricken Lake Chad and avert an even greater flow of refugees fleeing to Europe.

Some 2.5 million people have been displaced from the fast-drying Lake Chad basin, according to the United Nations.

Besides fleeing the drought, many people are crossing international borders to flee the Islamist militant group Boko Haram.

The presidents of Lake Chad basin countries Cameroon, Chad, Niger and Nigeria called for international support for a project to replenish the lake's waters and offer people greater security.

Lake Chad is "dying", Niger's President Mahamadou Issoufou told leaders on the opening day of a 195-nation UN conference in Paris that aims to rein in emissions of heat-trapping gases and avoid a climate disaster.

Chad's President Idriss Deby said the lake's surface had shrunk from 25,000 square kilometres (10,000 square miles) in 1960 to just 2,500 sq. km (1,000 sq. miles) today.

"As well as drying up, it has become a base for Boko Haram terrorists," he warned. Le Bourget, France | AFP | Monday 11/30/2015 - 18:24 GMT

Without security or resources, inhabitants may be tempted to cross the Sahara and the Mediterranean to reach Europe, said Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari.

Buhari pressed the international community to support a project to divert one or two rivers to the lake.

The United Nations has called for world powers to help Lake Chad basin countries tackle the effects of climate change and end the militant scourge.

Vast expanses of the lake have dried up and deprived people of their livelihoods of fishing, livestock farming and trade, Toby Lanzer, the UN regional humanitarian coordinator for the Sahel, told AFP this month.

Britain, France and the United States already work with the four regional countries to tackle the instability caused by Boko Haram.

But there are growing concerns the unrest could spread due to potential links between Boko Haram and like-minded extremists in places such as Libya and Mali, Lanzer said.

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Mali: La MISAHEL condamne fermement l'attaque contre la MINUSMA à Kidal et réaffirme la nécessité d'une action internationale plus effective contre les groupes terroristes et criminels dans le nord du Mali

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Source: African Union
Country: Mali

Mali: Four dead as migrant truck attacked in Mali: sources

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Source: Agence France-Presse
Country: Guinea, Mali

Bamako, Mali | AFP | Monday 11/30/2015 - 23:22 GMT

Armed men attacked a lorry carrying migrants in northern Mali, killing four people and wounding six, UN and medical sources told AFP on Monday.

Four men on motorbikes opened fire on the lorry as it travelled towards Kidal, in the country's far northeast, a medical source said, citing witness accounts.

They shot out the tyres before turning the guns on the passengers, who included people from Mali, Guinea, Niger and Nigeria.

The UN mission in Mali said the wounded were taken by helicopter to Gao, the main city in the restive north, for treatment. The dead were buried where they were.

The medical source said the dead included four Malians and a Guinean, without saying whether they were men or women.

A Malian security source in the north of the country confirmed the attack, without giving a death toll, but adding that 30 people had survived.

The migrants are thought to have been on their way to Algeria. Mali has been plagued by unrest since the north of the vast west African state fell under the control of Tuareg rebels and jihadist groups linked to Al-Qaeda in 2012.

A French-led military intervention in January 2013 recaptured much of the territory they had seized, but nearly three years later, large swathes of Mali still remain lawless.

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© 1994-2015 Agence France-Presse


Chad: Tchad: impact de la crise nigériane dans la région du Lac - Rapport de Situation no 08 (30/11/2015)

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Source: UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
Country: Chad, Nigeria

Faits saillants

  • De nouveaux attentats ont eu lieu à Ngouboua le 8 novembre, faisant quatre morts et 14 blessés.

  • L’état d’urgence a été déclaré dans la région du Lac le 9 novembre et prolongé jusqu’au 22 mars 2016.

  • Le nombre estimé de personnes déplacées internes s’élève à environ 53 639 dont 59,5% a déjà été enregistré.

  • Suite aux annonces de relocalisation du site de Kousseri et du camp de réfugiés de Dar es Salam, les activités des partenaires humanitaires ont dans l’ensemble quelque peu ralenti.

  • De nouvelles dynamiques de mouvements de population ont été observées après la déclaration de l’état d’urgence. De nouveaux déplacés internes quittent les îles pour la terre ferme et n’ont pas encore été enregistrés. A cela s’ajoute le manque d’accessibilité pour les acteurs humanitaires aux personnes vulnérables du fait des conditions sécuritaires, ce qui affecte la définition des besoins et l’assistance délivrée.

  • Suite aux décisions gouvernementales prises au lendemain de l’attentat du 10 octobre, Baga Sola a été érigée en préfecture.

  • Malgré les efforts déployés, les besoins urgents persistent dans tous les secteurs : abris, sécurité alimentaire, eau, hygiène et l’assainissement, protection et santé.

53 639 Déplacés internes arrivés depuis fin juillet 2015 Source: DTM OIM/HCR/CNARR/UNICEF (18/11/2015)

11 000 déplacés internes arrivés entre janvier et juin 2015 Source: profilage OIM (30/06/2015)

11 593 retournés Tchadiens du Nigéria arrivés depuis janvier 2015 Source: profilage OIM (13/10/2015)

7 868 réfugiés sur le site de Dar-es-Salam depuis janvier 2015 Source: HCR/CNARR (10/10//2015)

Aperçu de la situation

La situation humanitaire, toujours préoccupante dans la région du Lac, a été marquée par un ralentissement des activités suite au nouvel attentat du 8 novembre et à l’attente de la possible relocalisation des sites de Kafia et de Kousseri, ainsi que du camp de réfugiés de Dar es Salam. Pour rappel, il était estimé qu’environ 11 000 déplacés internes se trouvaient à Kafia et Kousseri avant les attentats de Baga Sola du 10 octobre dernier et seraient donc concernés par cette relocalisation.
Toutefois, une grande partie de ces personnes aurait quitté ces sites, rendant une relocalisation difficile à envisager. De plus, une visite préliminaire d’OCHA et de l’UNICEF dans les deux sites proposés par le Gouvernement pour la relocalisation les 6 et 7 novembre derniers a fait ressortir l’absence de toute infrastructure de base (santé, éducation, eau, hygiène et assainissement) dans un rayon d’environ 25 kilomètres. Leur éloignement du Lac limitera la pratique des activités de subsistance traditionnelle (pêche, pâturage et agriculture) dans une zone offrant peu d’opportunités agricoles. Enfin, leur relocalisation à 40 kilomètres de Baga Sola limiterait leur accessibilité par les acteurs humanitaires qui nécessiteraient, selon les règles actuelles des Nations Unies, une escorte militaire alors même que les militaires restent mobilisés par les opérations en cours.

De nouvelles dynamiques internes de mouvements de population rendent la situation incertaine. Au-delà des dynamiques affectant Kafia et Kousseri, des déplacements forcés ont également été rapportés depuis le 20 novembre dernier à Ngouboua où les quelques 5 000 déplacés internes qui s’y trouvaient ont été ordonnés de se redéplacer à Fourkoloum par l’Armée nationale. Ces personnes n’avaient jusqu’ici bénéficié d’aucune assistance sauf de soins au centre de santé soutenu par IMC et dans les cliniques mobiles de MSF Suisse. D’après une rapide évaluation menée par OCHA, il est estimé que 13 000 déplacés internes seraient désormais à Tchoukoutalia dans une vulnérabilité relative. En effet, une grande majorité des déplacés dans cette zone se seraient déplacés avec leurs biens et leur production agricole. Au 23 novembre, le nombre de déplacés internes était estimé à 53 639, dont 59,5% a déjà été enregistré par l’OIM (DTM du 23/11/2015).

Les 9 et 25 novembre, l’Equipe humanitaire pays (HCT) a ainsi réitéré sa décision de ne pas prendre part aux actions de relocalisations. Préoccupée par les risques de protection liés à ce transfert, la HCT reste en faveur d’une approche de déplacement volontaire vers des communautés d’accueil, prenant en compte les activités de subsistance traditionnelles des communautés affectées, et ne souhaite pas détourner des ressources déjà insuffisantes pour prendre en charge les communautés déplacées dans un nouveau site. Un plaidoyer est mené afin que les 3 milliards de FCFA débloqués par le Gouvernement afin de soutenir le développement de cette région soient alloués au mieux pour répondre aux impératifs d’accès aux services sociaux de base des communautés relocalisées dans les deux sites identifiés.

A la relocalisation s’ajoute un rétrécissement global de l’espace humanitaire dû aux incidents sécuritaires et aux mesures imposées aux agences onusiennes. Tchoukoutalia, Ngouboua et Daboua restent ainsi des zones inaccessibles aux humanitaires limitant les opportunités d’évaluations depuis le début de la crise en juillet. Ce rétrécissement de l’espace humanitaire a également des impacts sur le nombre d’acteurs et de personnel présents dans la zone, sur les mécanismes de coordination, sur l’analyse des besoins et enfin sur l’assistance délivrée.

Niger: How to reduce tensions between host communities and refugees: Lessons learned from Niger

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Source: Design, Monitoring and Evaluation for Peacebuilding
Country: Niger, Nigeria

Author, Copyright Holder: Maud Bakirdjian

In April 2014 violent attacks by the terrorist group Boko Haram in Nigeria forced 30000 Niger nationals and 8000 Nigerians to flee into the relative safety of Niger’s Diffa region.

The displaced peoples share a common language and culture with the host communities, which promoted their peaceful reception. However, host communities were already struggling to meet their own needs. As displaced people continued to arrive, government and international organizations aid focusing on displaced populations unwittingly fed tensions. Hosts in Niger began to ask, how is it that these newcomers are helped while we, struggling for years in our daily lives to meet our basic needs, are not?

To prevent these tensions from escalating to violence, Search for Common Ground Niger, supported by UNHCR, sought to respond quickly by : (1) Creating credible and reliable information channels to reduce rumors about humanitarian aid; (2) Supporting community initiatives to promote mutual assistance and understanding.

In December 2014, eight months later, at the end of the project, several important effects were observed, revealing the positive role of SFCG in this crisis situation.

How did SFCG programming reduce tensions and promote mutual understanding?

SFCG adopted a multi-layered and participatory approach, both in terms of targeted individuals and activities. Radio programs were used to teach the public about the humanitarian aid process - but data collected by the Niger SFCG team revealed that the radio programs could at best reach 59% of the target population, and SFCG radio was only regularly reaching 42%. This lesson was quickly incorporated into programming with the addition of an awareness caravan and participatory theater.

Both of the added activities included deep engagement from communities and community leaders. Participatory theater actors are people from the community who have been trained by SFCG, the actors make theatre interactive through asking the audience questions and bringing the audience into role playing scenes. This enables communities to be directly active. Without their understanding, their support and involvement, these activities would not have existed.

What were the results of the program?

  1. Communities choosing to expand activities.

SFCG committed to supporting the implementation of 8 community activities. But the excitement and enthusiasm of communities and their leaders led communities to develop an additional 11 community events (including soccer games and community, etc.) which gathered together host, displaced, and returned populations.

SFCG aimed to put on 32 participatory theater performances, but in the end 60 shows were performed, doubling the initial goal!

  1. Changed attitudes and behaviors around solidarity and mutual assistance

Through a multi-layered and highly participatory approach, change is possible. Disseminating reliable and credible information through radio programs and community outreach activities helps people understand the purpose of humanitarian aid and its targets. This is the first step, a change in knowledge. A change in knowledge may directly result in an attitude change; once the aid process is made more transparent and understandable, resentment and jealousy fade.

"I used to think that humanitarian aid was for the village but was only given to these supposedly returned and displaced. We thought by chasing them from our homes, aid would be distributed to us. But with the SFCG sensitizations, especially through participatory theater, I understood how aid is allocated and since then, I am committed to help these people. Currently, I share my house with one of them and four of her children. " - A woman from the host population, from data collected during the final evaluation in December 2014.

This change can be built to be even stronger if the host population, returnees and displaced persons share in discussion of experiences, making each group more aware of the others’ situation. SFCG encouraged this type of sharing and relationship building through community activities, providing new opportunities for people to meet and work towards a same goal - to improve the quality of life for everyone in the community.

"Thanks to my participation in a clean-up meeting, gathering all the village women, displaced, returned as host population, I made some friends and since then I no longer feel like a stranger. I do not even want to think of going back to Nigeria. " – From data collected during the final evaluation in December 2014.

What’s next?

The changes captured are remarkable - however, they are only the beginning.

In December 2014, Diffa authorities recorded a sharp decrease in the number of complaints from the host population about the aid distributed to displaced persons. However, 42% of the surveyed host population still reported they were worried by the presence of returned and displaced peoples in their communities; 63% of them believed the presence of displaced people was likely to lead to conflicts and 22% said they were already a source of conflict. Fear and worry are not defeated. Humanitarian aid was also still cited as the primary source of tensions related to the arrival of displaced and returned people in the community. As displaced people continue to come, hard work to ease community relationships must continue.

In August 2015, Diffa region had 94,152 Nigerian displaced and 44,169 returnees (Niger nationals living in Nigeria for years – then fleeing back to their country), the majority are women and children. Results show that people can change their attitude and behavior to reduce tensions and conflicts, and improve the situation of all. We must continue to support the people in that direction. Today SFCG, supported by UNHCR, continues this work.

How did SFCG capture these results?

The above mentioned results are from an evaluation using a mixed methodology of qualitative and quantitative. The results are drawn from a quantitative questionnaire administered to 709 people (displaced, returned, and host population), 13 individual interviews with the authorities, humanitarian actors, project staff and staff of partner radio stations, 6 focus groups with a total of 72 people in host communities, returnees and displaced persons, and a literature review of the various reports produced throughout the implementation of the project.

The value of using a mixed methodology is to get different but complementary data on the same subject in order to increase our understanding of different aspects of a context and increase the reliability of results through triangulation of data. Combining the advantages of qualitative methods (more details, depth) and quantitative (sample size, trends, generalization) reduces the weaknesses of each and corroboration of the results on a same aspect studied reinforces the validity of an evaluation.

For example, thanks to a group discussion where returnees and IDPs had gathered to exchange experience while feeling at ease, the above quotes were collected. It is likely that these testimonies would not have been collected through the closed questions of a quantitative questionnaire. However, without the questionnaire, we would not have had data to extrapolate the results from qualitative data collected from a few people.

Mixed methodology is advised when relevant to the topic (in particular the level of sensitivity,) when the appropriate budget is available and when the security and logistical conditions allow.

Chad: Chad: situation on the Lake region and the impact of the Nigerian crisis – Situation Report n°8 (30/11/2015)

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Source: UN Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs
Country: Chad, Nigeria

Highlights

  • On 8th November, attacks killed 4 people in Ngouboua and injured 14 others.

  • On 9th November, a state of emergency was declared in Lac Region and was extended up to March 22nd, 2016.

  • The estimated number of IDPs is approximately 53,639 of which 59.5% have already been registered.

  • Following the decision to relocate the IDP site of Kousseri and the refugee camp of Dar es Salam, the activities of humanitarian partners have on the whole slowed somewhat.

  • New dynamics of population movements were observed after the declaration of the state of emergency. New IDPs are again moving from the islands to the mainland and have not yet been registered. Humanitarian access to vulnerable people is still difficult because of the security conditions, which impedes the definition of needs and the delivery of assistance.

  • Following a government decision after the suicide attacks of October 10th, Baga Sola was elevated from sub-prefecture into a prefecture.

  • Despite the ongoing efforts, urgent needs persist in the sectors of shelter, food security, water, hygiene and sanitation, protection and health.

Background

The humanitarian situation is still a source of concern in the Lac region, and has been affected by a decline in activities mainly due to the attacks of November 8th in addition to the possible relocation of the IDP sites of Kafia and Kousseri and of the refugee camp of Dar es Salam. It was estimated that approximately 11,000 IDPs were settled in Kousseri and Kafia before the Baga Sola bombings of 10th October and who would therefore be affected by this relocation. However, most of these people have left these sites, making it difficult to consider relocation. In addition, a preliminary visit by OCHA and UNICEF on November 6 th and 7th to the two sites proposed by the Government for the relocation highlighted the absence of basic infrastructure (health, education, water, sanitation and sanitation) up to a distance of about 25 km. Their distance from the lake would render impossible the practice of traditional subsistence activities (fishing, livestock rearing and agriculture) in an area offering few agricultural opportunities. Further, relocation of these people to sites some 40 kilometers from Baga Sola would make humanitarian access even more difficult. Under the current rules of the United Nations, UN agencies would require military escorts but the military remains mobilized by ongoing operations.

New internal dynamics of population movements make the situation uncertain. Beyond the dynamics affecting Kafia and Kousseri, forced displacements have been reported since 20th November in Ngouboua where about 5,000 IDPs were ordered by the National Army to move again to Fourkoloum. So far, these people have received no assistance except medical care at the health centre supported by IMC and in mobile clinics of MSF Suisse. According to a rapid assessment conducted by OCHA, an estimated 13,000 IDPs are now in Tchoukoutalia where they are relatively vulnerable: the vast majority of the IDPs in this area appear to have moved with their belongings and their means of agricultural production. On November 23rd, the estimated total number of IDPs was 53,639 of whom 59.5% have already been registered by IOM (DTM of 23/11/2015).

On 9 th and 25th of November, the Humanitarian Country Team (HCT) reiterated its decision not to take part in the relocation. Concerned about protection risks related to the transfer, the HCT remains in favour of an approach of voluntary movement to host communities, taking into account the traditional subsistence activities of the affected communities, and is not keen to divert already insufficient resources to take charge of displaced communities in a new site. Advocacy is underway to ensure that the 3 billion FCFA made available by the Government to support the development of this region are allocated to meet the requirements of access to basic social services for communities relocated in the two identified sites.

Humanitarian space is also shrinking as a result of the security incidents and the measures imposed on UN agencies. Thus Tchoukoutalia, Ngouboua and Daboua remain difficult for the humanitarian community to access, limiting opportunities for assessment of needs since the start of the crisis in July. This narrowing of humanitarian space also has an impact on the number of actors and staff present in the area, on the coordination mechanisms, on assessment of needs, and finally on the delivered assistance.

Nigeria: Nigeria Price Bulletin - November 2015

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Nigeria

The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET) monitors trends in staple food prices in countries vulnerable to food insecurity. For each FEWS NET country and region, the Price Bulletin provides a set of charts showing monthly prices in the current marketing year in selected urban centers and allowing users to compare current trends with both five-year average prices, indicative of seasonal trends, and prices in the previous year.

Sorghum, maize, millet, cowpea, gari (fermented cassava starch), and rice are all found in Nigerian markets. Sorghum, millet and maize are widely consumed by most households, but especially in the north, and are used by various industries. Maize is mainly used by the poultry industry as a raw material for feed while sorghum is used by breweries for producing beverages. Sorghum and millet are important for households in the north, particularly the border markets where millet is also heavily traded with Niger. Gari is widely consumed by households in the south and some in the north. Rice is produced and consumed throughout the country. The north is a major production and consumption area for cowpea which flows to the south for use by households and food processing industries. Ilela, Maidua, and Damasak are all critical cross-border markets with Niger. Saminaka, Giwa, Dandume, and Kaura Namuda are important grain markets in the north, which are interconnected with the Dawanu market in Kano, the largest wholesale market in West Africa, and some southern markets such as the Bodija market in Ibadan. Millet, sorghum, maize, and cowpea are among the most important cereals traded at Dawanu, while cassava and some cereals are traded with Bodija.

Mauritania: Mauritania Food Security Outlook Update November 2015

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Mauritania

L’insécurité alimentaire continuée suite aux effets résiduels de la soudure difficile de 2015

Key Messages

  • Malgré l’installation tardive de l’hivernage, la production céréalière est en hausse de 14 pour cent par rapport à la moyenne des cinq dernières années ce qui indique une meilleure disponibilité céréalière pour les ménages pauvres affectés par une soudure agropastorale plus dure qu’en 2015 (juin à septembre 2015).

  • L’excèdent des productions céréalières occasionne des revenus proches de ceux d’une année moyenne. Les conditions pastorales favorables, des marchés bien approvisionnés, un flux transfrontalier régulier avec les pays voisins et l’approvisionnement en denrée importée de premier nécessite avec des prix stable, augurent un accès alimentaire propice dans la majeure partie du pays. Par conséquent, la plupart des ménages pauvres seront en insécurité alimentaire Minimale (Phase 1 de l’IPC).

  • La situation du criquet pèlerin reste calme, mais l’enregistrement de fortes pluies durant le mois d’octobre au nord-ouest de la Mauritanie, maintiendront des conditions écologiques favorables à la reproduction pour au moins les six prochains mois à venir selon le Bulletin de FAO Centre d’Intervention Antiacridien d’Urgence. En outre, le Bulletin de l’ETOP d’OFDA a noté que des ailés épars présents au centre du pays et les adultes immatures trouvés dans plusieurs endroits suggèrent que la reproduction a déjà commencé au nord-ouest. Ces conditions posent une menace pour les récoltes restantes comme celles de derrière barrages et décrue (walo).

  • Une situation de Stress (Phase 2 de l’IPC) persistera dans la zone agropastorale (les moughataa de Moudjéria, Monguel, Tidjikdja, M’Bout, M’Bagne, Magta-Lahjar, Boghé, Bababé, Aleg, Boumdeid, Barkéol, et Kaédi) où la baisse des effectifs du cheptel et des mises bas saisonnières conduit à une production de lait en baisse ainsi que des tailles de troupeaux diminués et le remboursement des dettes contractées pendant les périodes de soudures précédentes, contraindront les ménages pauvres à renoncer jusqu’au moins mars 2016, aux dépenses essentielles non alimentaires.

  • Dans le centre de la zone de cultures pluviales (les moughataa d’Amourj et de Diguent), le retard des récoltes de long et court cycles causé par le démarrage tardif de l’hivernage, prolongent la période de soudure de façon significative. Bien que des productions moyennes soient attendues, ces récoltes n’arriveront pas à couvrir les besoins non alimentaires des ménages pauvres qui ont plus de dettes que d’habitude cette année à cause des difficiles années précédents. Ces ménages resteront en situation de Stress (Phase 2 de l’IPC) jusqu’au mois mars.

Pour plus de détail, voir les Perspectives sur la sécurité alimentaire d'octobre 2015 à mars 2016.

Senegal: Sénégal : Mise à jour du suivi à distance, Novembre 2015

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Senegal

Accès moyen des ménages aux denrées grâce aux bonnes récoltes en cours

Key Messages

  • La disponibilité de la propre production supérieure à la moyenne, les revenus moyens tirés des activités habituelles de mains d’œuvre agricole ou non agricole et les prix des céréales moyens à inférieurs à la moyenne favoriseront l’accès des ménages pauvres aux denrées pour leurs besoins alimentaires. Par conséquent, la plupart des ménages seront en insécurité alimentaire Minimale (Phase 1 de l’IPC) entre novembre 2015 et mars 2016.

  • Le maintien du prix d’achat de l’arachide à 200FCFA le kilogramme comme pour la campagne dernière et supérieure de 6 pour cent par rapport à la moyenne quinquennale en plus des mesures d’accompagnement du Gouvernement pour soutenir la campagne de commercialisation constitue une aubaine pour les producteurs arachidiers. Les revenus agricoles moyens à supérieurs à la moyenne qui en résultent permettront aux ménages de satisfaire leurs besoins normalement jusqu’en octobre 2016.

  • Actuellement, grâce à la propre production inférieure à la moyenne et à la solidarité locale, les ménages pauvres victimes des inondations de juillet à septembre 2015 dans les zones de Dakar, Fatick, Kaolack, Saint Louis et Matam ont accès à la nourriture. Cependant, à partir de mars avec l’épuisement précoce de leurs stocks alimentaires, ils ne pourront satisfaire leurs besoins alimentaires et de reconstitution de moyens d’existence sans recourir à des stratégies d’adaptation inhabituelles et seront par conséquent en insécurité alimentaire de Stress (Phase 2 de l’IPC).

  • En dépit de la production agricole à l'échelle nationale supérieure à la moyenne, des zones localisées de production céréalière inférieure à la moyenne sont attendues dans les départements de Matam, Kanel, Raneyrou, Linguère et Louga. La dépendance plus longue que d’habitude aux marchés suite à l’épuisement précoce des stocks amènera les ménages pauvres dans ces départements à intensifier les activités de main d’œuvre, à préférer les aliments les moins chers et à diminuer les dépenses non alimentaires pendant la prochaine soudure. Ils seront par conséquent en insécurité alimentaire de Stress (Phase 2 de l’IPC) à partir de juin 2016.

Pour plus de détail, voir la Mise à jour du suivi à distance d’octobre 2015.

Burkina Faso: Burkina Faso : Mise à jour sur la sécurité alimentaire, novembre 2015

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Burkina Faso

Les nouvelles récoltes commencent à normaliser la situation alimentaire

Key Messages

  • Selon les résultats prévisionnels de l’enquête agricole, la production céréalière attendue serait moyenne. La comparaison par rapport à la moyenne quinquennale fait ressortir un léger accroissement de 1% pour l’ensemble des céréales, 14,10% pour le maïs et 12,47% pour le riz. Le niébé, le sésame et l’arachide connaitraient également des hausses respectives de 20,6%, 38,5% et 13,8%.

  • Du fait des nouvelles récoltes, la demande des ménages est faible sur les marchés et les prix sont stables pour le sorgho et le mil mais, légèrement en hausse pour le maïs comparativement à la moyenne quinquennale. En raison du bon état physique du cheptel, les prix des animaux par rapport à la moyenne quinquennale, sont en hausse et atteignent 10% pour le bouc et 19% pour le bélier de race sahélienne.

  • Jusqu’en mars, les prix des céréales de base devraient évoluer suivant la tendance saisonnière moyenne en raison de la production moyenne attendue et du niveau des stocks reports paysans estimé à environ 600 000 tonnes. Pour le bétail, la tendance des prix au-dessus de la moyenne devrait se maintenir du fait de la hausse habituelle de la demande pour les fêtes de fin d’année.

  • Grace à la bonne disponibilité en eau, les ménages pourront mener normalement leurs activités de contresaison (maraichage et d’orpaillage), ce qui leur permettra d’avoir des niveaux moyens de revenus. Les ménages pauvres pourront tirer des revenus de la main-d’œuvre agricole pendant cette période de récolte, mais également des revenus non agricoles dans les travaux de construction et de confection de briques.


Niger: Niger : Mise à jour sur la sécurité alimentaire - Novembre 2015

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Niger

Au niveau national la situation alimentaire améliore grâce aux nouvelles récoltes

Key Messages

  • Bien que l’installation de la saison de pluies en 2015 a été tardive, les effets bénéfiques des bonnes pluies à partir de mi-juillet donnent l’espoir pour une production agricole et une disponibilité en ressources pastorales globalement comparables à la moyenne quinquennale au niveau national.

  • Malgré la production globalement moyenne au niveau national, des déficits hydriques ont eu un impact négatif sur les cultures et les pâturages dans certains départements des régions de Tillabéri, et le Nord Zinder, Tahoua et Maradi. L’existence d’excédents céréaliers dans les zones voisines et les contributions attendues des cultures irriguées pourraient augmenter les disponibilités alimentaires locales en décembre 2015 jusqu’en mars 2016.

  • Suite à la baisse des superficies emblavées du fait de la poursuite du conflit, une baisse de la production agricole et des cultures de rente est attendue dans la région de Diffa où la demande de consommation humaine est en hausse avec la présence de personnes déplacées. Cette région déficitaire va difficilement profiter des excédents des zones excédentaires à cause de la crise sécuritaire du Nigeria.

  • L’insécurité alimentaire aiguë Minimale (Phase 1 de l’IPC) est la tendance dominante de la situation alimentaire au niveau national jusqu’en décembre 2015. Cependant, dans la région de Diffa le Stress (Phase 2 de l’IPC) et Crise (Phase 3 de l’IPC) insécurité alimentaire aiguë observée en novembre 2015 pourrait continuer jusqu’à mars 2016 au moins. Entre janvier et mars 2016, certaines zones pastorales des régions de Maradi et Tahoua, et des zones agropastorales de Tillabéri et Zinder vont évoluer en Stress (Phase 2 de l’IPC) suite à une réduction de la disponibilité et de l'accès aux aliments.

Pour plus de détail, voir les Perspectives sur la sécurité alimentaire d’octobre 2015.

Chad: Tchad : Mise à jour sur la sécurité alimentaire - novembre 2015

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Chad

La situation alimentaire actuelle est stable grâce aux nouvelles récoltes en cours

Key Messages

  • La production céréalière de la campagne 2015/2016 est estimée à 2.427.241 tonnes selon la DPAS/Ministère de l’Agriculture contre 2.687.408 tonnes la moyenne des cinq dernières années, soit une baisse de 10 pour cent. Toutes les cultures céréalières principales ont enregistré une baisse comparée à la moyenne quinquennale sauf le blé (en hausse de 22 pour cent) à cause du démarrage tardif de la campagne, la mauvaise répartition, et l’arrêt précoce des pluies par endroits.

  • Le déficit céréalier est plus important dans la zone sahélienne que dans la zone soudanienne (sud du pays). Les zones les plus déficitaires dans la zone sahélienne par ordre d’importance sont le Kanem, le Batha, Sila et Biltine. Dans la zone soudanienne, il s’agit du Mayo Kebbi Ouest, Logone Oriental et de la Tandjilé qui montrent les déficits de production.

  • L'état d'urgence déclaré dans la région du Lac (9 novembre 2015) a commencé à avoir des conséquences sur les marchés et les moyens d’existence des ménages. Les marchés sont moins fréquentés à cause du faible mouvement des populations entre les villages et les marchés comme Bol, Bagassola, Liwa et Kiskawa. Le prix du maïs à Bol par exemple est supérieur de 34 pourcent comparé à la moyenne quinquennale.

  • Grâce aux récoltes en cours et au revenu de la main d’œuvre agricole, la plupart des ménages pauvres est capable de couvrir ses besoins alimentaires sans recourir à des stratégies d’adaptation inhabituelles. Toutes les zones de moyens d’existence sont en insécurité alimentaire minimale (Phase 1 de l’IPC) et y resteront jusqu’à décembre. Toutefois, à partir de janvier 2016, certaines zones du sahel seront en Stress (Phase 2 de l’IPC).

Pour plus de détail, voir les Perspectives sur la sécurité alimentaire d’octobre 2015.

Mali: Mali : Mise à jour sur la sécurité alimentaire - novembre 2015

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Mali

Insécurité alimentaire de type Stress (Phase 2 de l’IPC) attendue par endroits à partir de mars

Key Messages

  • Les récoltes supérieures à la moyenne en cours dans le pays augurent d’une disponibilité supérieure à la moyenne de vivres durant l’année alimentaire 2015/16. Il en est de même pour les conditions d’élevages qui présagent de belles perspectives d’alimentation pour le bétail ; ce qui favorisera une production de lait moyenne et un embonpoint moyen favorable au maintien des termes de l‘échange bétail/céréales à travers le pays.

  • L’insécurité alimentaire Minimale (Phase 1 de l’IPC) devrait se maintenir pour la majorité des ménages agropasteurs et pasteurs jusqu’aux grandes récoltes d’octobre 2016 grâce à la bonne disponibilité des denrées, les revenus agricoles moyens à supérieurs à la moyenne, des perspectives d’évolution typiques du prix des denrées et des termes de l’échange bétail/céréales supérieurs à la moyenne qui permettront un accès moyen des ménages aux marchés.

  • Cependant, les ménages pauvres victimes des inondations à travers le pays seront dans l’incapacité de satisfaire à la fois leurs besoins alimentaires et de reconstitution de moyens d’existence sans recourir à des stratégies d’adaptation inhabituelles. Avec l’épuisement précoce des stocks, ils seront en insécurité alimentaire de Stress (Phase 2 de l’IPC) à partir de mars 2016.

  • Les ménages pasteurs pauvres des régions de Tombouctou et de Gao connaissent une réduction inhabituelle de la taille de leur cheptel à cause des mortalités et des ventes inhabituelles des deux dernières années suite à la conjoncture difficile. La baisse de revenus qui en résulte limitera leur accès aux marchés et par conséquent, ils seront en insécurité alimentaire de Stress (Phase 2 de l’IPC) à partir de mars 2016.

Pour plus de détail, voir les Perspectives sur la sécurité alimentaire d'octobre 2015 à mars 2016.

Kenya: Understanding Insurgent Margins in Kenya, Nigeria and Mali

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Source: Institute of Development Studies
Country: Kenya, Mali, Nigeria

In recent years, violent insurgency has gripped the margins of Kenya, Mali and Nigeria. Militant Islamist groups have attacked civilian populations, state security personnel and political-administrative officials, spreading insecurity across large areas and exploiting the mistrust between societies at the margins and central authorities.

More attention needs to be focused on the role of local political, economic and social conditions in the areas where attacks are taking place, and a long-term solution to addressing violence in each country must involve resolving long-standing political grievances, a legacy of past state violence towards minority populations, and intra-regional inequality.

Read the full report

Mauritania: Mauritania: Food Security Outlook October 2015 to March 2016

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Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Mauritania

KEY MESSAGES

  • After a late start to the rainy season, the adequate levels and good temporal distribution of rainfall since the end of August have fostered good pasture and rainfed crop growth and development.
    The national cereal production will be average to above-average levels, and pastures across the country will be in visibly better condition than in 2014. The food access of poor households will therefore improve.

  • Access to fresh agricultural products and milk, stable food prices, and wage income from farm labor will facilitate normal household food consumption in most rural areas of the country, and consequently most households will be Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity. Their food security will be strengthened by harvests of late-season rainfed and flood recession crops and the rising price of livestock between January and March.

  • Amourj and Diguent departments in the rainfed farming zone have been severely affected by the irregularity of rainfall. Short-cycle crop yields are noticeably smaller and the two-month delay in their harvests has extended the lean season into November. A significant part of this seasonal production deficit will be offset by yields of long-cycle crops (harvested in December this year), but poor households will continue to face Stressed (IPC Phase 2) food security outcomes through January.

  • Despite average harvests and good pastoral conditions, smaller herd sizes and the impact of debt repayment obligations following several previously difficult years as well as significantly below-average seasonal incomes will keep poor households in the agropastoral areas of Tagant (Moudjéria department) and Gorgol (Monguel department and northern Kaédi department) in Stressed (IPC Phase 2) situations of food insecurity through March.

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