Emergency (IPC Phase 4) expected in worst-affected conflict areas of the northeast
Key Messages
Boko Haram conflict continues to lead to loss of lives, continued population displacement, and is a driver of elevated food insecurity in northeast Nigeria, as well as in neighboring regions in Niger, Chad, and Cameroon. Affected resident and displaced populations, most notably in Borno, Yobe and Adamawa States, have limited access to their typical food and income sources. The continuing conflict also contributes to reduced market activity in the region.
Between April and September, the number of areas in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) acute food insecurity will increase in Borno, Yobe, and Adamawa States as more households begin to face food consumption gaps. Areas worst affected by conflict will begin to experience Emergency (IPC Phase 4) acute food insecurity in July as a large proportion of households in these areas face greater food consumption gaps and higher risks for malnutrition and excess mortality.
Outside of the northeast, most households across the country have good availability and access to their typical food and income sources. Most of the country is experiencing average or below-average prices for staple foods, contributing to good market access for market-dependent households. As such, Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity is expected between now and September.