Risk for Crisis acute food insecurity in 2015
Key Messages:
Poor 2014 rainfall led unfavorable cropping conditions. Preliminary results from the joint CILSS, FAO, WFP, FEWS NET and Senegal Government crop assessment estimate national production to be about 45 percent below the five-year average for cereals and cash crops.
In addition to low harvest stock levels, particularly in the center and north of the country, households will also experience an atypical decrease in seasonal revenues. Sales of cash crops will be down compared to normal. Considering the poor perspectives for off-season cultivation, there will also be a decrease in agricultural labor demand.
In March, most poor households affected will not be able to meet their essential non-food needs and will be in Stress (IPC Phase 2). As the prices for key staple foods increase in April and household incomes become more and more limited, areas of the center and north of the country will be, by May, in Crisis (IPC Phase 3) acute food insecurity, Thiès, Louga, Matam and northern Tambacounda in particular.
For more detailed analysis, see the Remote Monitoring Update for October
