Source: Famine Early Warning System Network
Country: Cameroon, Chad, Côte d'Ivoire, Ghana, Guinea, Liberia, Mauritania, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Sudan, South Sudan
September rainfall will be particularly important in determining seasonal outcome for the Sahel
Key Messages
- Over much of Senegal and Mauritania August brought rainfall accumulation with levels more near normal. Favorable Sea Surface Temperature trends off the coast are likely to extend wetter conditions for the next few weeks. This improvement, however, has come late in the season and may not be able to reverse the effects of rainfall deficits that occurred earlier in the season.
- For the rest of the Sahel, the observed warming trend off the Gulf of Guinea may result in a bad distribution of rainfall across the Sahel for the end of the season, which could have a negative impact on crop development, particularly in areas that experienced long planting delays.
- Average to above-average rainfall continues over much of the Guinean-Sudanian and Bi-modal Zones. Good crop development can continue to be expected, even in areas that are experiencing relative rainfall deficits as cumulative rainfall totals are enough to meet crop water requirements.
