End to extended pasture and water deficits in pastoral areas
Key Messages
• The growing season has been marked by delays in crop planting activities. However, in general, crops are in normal stages of growth and development following an improvement in rainfall conditions and there is cause to expect average to good levels of crop production, particularly with continued steady, heavy rainfall activity through the end of September, as forecasted in the seasonal outlook.
• In pastoral areas, grazing and watering conditions for livestock having experienced effects of an extended lean season are increasingly good. Pastoral households facing Stressed (IPC Phase 2) acute food insecurity in August/September will experience Minimal (IPC Phase 1) food insecurity between the end of September and December with the sharp improvement in pasture availability beginning the end of July. However, Crisis (IPC Phase 3) in northern Nguigmi, the worst-affected area, will continue through October.
• In general, food security conditions in farming and agropastoral areas will be Stressed (IPC Phase 2) in August/September but, with the encouraging progress of the growing season, should give way to Minimal (IPC Phase 1) acute food insecurity between October and December. However, due to the late start-of-season in certain areas, production deficits are expected in localized areas if the remainder of the season does not continue as forecasted.
