Heavy rains continue across eastern Kenya and Tanzania, while a mid-season cessation of rains bring developing moisture deficits to portions of Somalia and neighboring regions of Ethiopia and Kenya.
Heavy, but not well-distributed rains received in parts of Kenya, Somalia.
Since the end of October, two consecutive weeks of enhanced rainfall had overly saturated ground conditions and caused localized flooding for some local areas around the Lake Victoria region. While a slight reduction of precipitation was observed in this region during the last week, much of heavy rainfall shifted to the east over southeastern Kenya, with high totals (> 75mm) along the Tanzania, Kenya and Somalia coastline (Figure 1). Locally heavier totals in excess of 100mm, which have elevated the risk for flooding, were observed in the coast province, and southern Eastern, and North Eastern provinces of Kenya. Further north across parts of northeastern Kenya and southern Somalia, weekly rainfall accumulations were heavy, but poorly distributed in the region, with much of the Shabelle and Jubba River Basins generally receiving less than 40mm of precipitation.