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Nigeria: Climate Prediction Center’s Africa Hazards Outlook, July 31 – August 6, 2014

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Source: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Country: Benin, Burkina Faso, Chad, Côte d'Ivoire, Ethiopia, Ghana, Guinea, Liberia, Mali, Niger, Nigeria, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Sudan, Togo, South Sudan
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  • Heavy rains in parts of eastern Sudan resulted in flooding which damaged infrastructure.

  • Ground conditions continue to deteriorate due to poor rains in northeastern Nigeria, western Chad and Senegal.

1) Since early June, seasonal rainfall has been both suppressed and infrequent across northeastern Nigeria leading to a strengthening of moisture deficits. While there is a chance for some relief with increased rainfall forecast during the upcoming outlook period, anomalously dry ground conditions are expected to persist, which still may negatively impact developing crops later into the season.

2) Although much of western Ethiopia has experienced favorable amounts of rainfall during the last two months and recent rains have improved in quantity in eastern Ethiopia, poorly distributed rains in parts of eastern Amhara, eastern Tigray, and northern Oromia have been consistently below-average since June.

3) A continued sluggish start to seasonal rainfall across much of Senegal has led to deteriorating ground conditions and growing early season rainfall deficits dating back to June. With little rain forecast for the upcoming period, rainfall deficits are expected to grow, potentially impacting cropping activities.

4) Heavy rains during the past week in the Darfur region of Sudan caused flooding which destroyed shelters in parts of Central Darfur. With heavy and above-average rain forecast for the next week, additional flooding is likely.


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