Favorable rainfall distribution observed across the western parts of West Africa.
Marginal rainfall continues in Eastern Africa.
1) Poor rainfall distribution during the March-May rainfall season had negatively impacted agricultural and pastoral activities throughout western Kenya, parts of northeastern Uganda, southeastern South Sudan, and northwestern Tanzania. Limited rains are forecast over southern Ethiopia and northwestern Kenya during the next week, which could sustain poor conditions on the ground.
2) Dry spells since mid-April had led to a rapid deterioration of ground conditions throughout portions of southern Uganda, Rwanda, Burundi, and parts of northwestern Tanzania. As seasonal rainfall is expected to decrease over the next few months, the adverse impacts of the previous dryness may persist.
3) Heavy downpours have led to flooding over the Kita region of southwestern Mali during the past week. With high rainfall surpluses associated with above-average rains during the past few weeks, the forecast additional rains during the next outlook period maintain the risks for flooding over the region.
4) Frequent and above-average rains over the past several weeks have increased moisture surpluses over the far western portions of the Gulf of Guinea. Copious amounts of rainfall are expected over Sierra Leone, Liberia, and costal Cote d’Ivoire during the next week, increasing the likelihood for flooding over many local areas.
