The 7-day cumulative satellite rainfall estimate (RFE) image (Map – 1) indicates heavy to moderate rains were received within the Juba and Shabelle basins both in Somalia and within the Ethiopian highlands.
The rainfall forecast for the coming week (Map – 2) is pointing towards continued rainfall activities of moderate to heavy rains (up to 50mm) within the Shabelle and Juba basins both in Ethiopia and Somalia.
Following the increased rainfall activities and current high river levels in the middle and lower reaches of the Shabelle river, there is a moderate risk of flooding towards the end of this week and early next week. The areas likely to flood are the lower reaches of the river in Lower Shabelle region where the river levels are currently at bank full level. The situation could be worsened by artificial breakages of river banks in the area. There is however minimal risk of flooding during the coming week along the Juba River
